
It's starting to look more and more certain that we're going to have good salmon fishing this year. We now know how many salmon returned to the Central Valley last year and scientists have used those numbers to forecast how many salmon will greet the fleet when the season opens this year.
Unofficial reports say we should anticipate just under 400,000 adult Sacramento Valley salmon in the ocean now, and this is probably conservative. In addition, more salmon, above the 400,000 forecast, from the Mokelumne River hatchery and San Joaquin Valley, are out there too, not to mention the Klamath and other north coast rivers.
Seasoned observers are saying we could see the best season since 2013, which was a really good one. Then as now, the good times came two years after really wet winters and springs in the Central Valley. Since baby salmon are considered one year old when they leave the Central Valley, and most return as three-year-old adults, you can always count on good fishing two years after lots of rain and snow. Yes, with this year's rain and snow, 2021 should be a good year too!
The less good news is that fishery managers aimed for a return of 151,000 hatchery and natural area fall Chinook adults to the Sacramento River Basin in 2018. Instead, only 105,739 adult spawners returned.